• Complete list of publications can be downloaded here

Some of these publications can be downloaded below:

Journal publications

Jonkman S.N. (2020) Sustainable coastal adaptation is possible. Journal of Delta Urbanism Vol. 1 No. 1, pp 62-64. 

Kool J.J., Kanning W., Jommi C. & Jonkman S.N. (2020) A Bayesian hindcasting method of levee failures applied to the Breitenhagen slope failure, Georisk: Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards, DOI: 10.1080/17499518.2020.1815213

Yin J., Jonkman S.N.,  Ning Lin,  Dapeng Yu,  Jeroen Aerts,  Robert Wilby,  Ming Pan,  Eric Wood, Jeremy Bricker,  Qian Ke,  Zhenzhong Zeng,  Qing Zhao,  Jianzhong Ge, Jun Wang (2020) Flood Risks in Sinking Delta Cities: Time for a Reevaluation? Earth’s Future Volume 8, Issue 8.

Zhu, Z., Vuik, V.Visser, P. J., Soens, T., van Wesenbeeck, B., van de Koppel, J., Jonkman, S. N., Temmerman, S. & Bouma, T. J. (2020) Historic storms and the hidden value of coastal wetlands for nature-based flood defence In : Nature Sustainability.

Van Berchum, E. C., van Ledden, M., Timmermans, J. S., Kwakkel, J. H., and Jonkman, S. N. (2020) Rapid flood risk screening model for compound flood events in Beira, Mozambique, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss.,, in review. 

Roubos, A. A., Allaix, D. L., Schweckendiek, T., Steenbergen, R. D. J. M. & Jonkman, S. N. (2020) Time-dependent reliability analysis of service-proven quay walls subject to corrosion-induced degradation. Reliability Engineering and System Safety. 203, 15 p., 107085.

Özer, I.E.; van Damme, M.; Jonkman, S.N. (2020) Towards an International Levee Performance Database (ILPD) and Its Use for Macro-Scale Analysis of Levee Breaches and Failures. Water 2020, 12, 119.

Lendering KT, Jonkman S.N., van Ledden M., Vrijling J.K. (2019) Defend or raise? Optimising flood risk reduction strategies, Journal of Flood Risk Management, online publication.

van Berchum EC, Mobley W, Jonkman SN, Timmermans JS, Kwakkel JH, Brody SD (2019) Evaluation of flood risk reduction strategies through combinations of interventions. Journal of Flood Risk Management 12 (S2)

Kool J.J., Kanning W., Jommi C., Heyer T., Jonkman S.N. (2019) Forensic Analysis of Levee Failures: The Breitenhagen Case. International Journal of Geoengineering Case Histories, Vol.5, Issue 2, p. 70 - 92. doi: 10.4417/IJGCH-05-02-02

Vuik V., Borsje B.W., Willemsen P.W.J.M., Jonkman S.N. (2019) Salt marshes for flood risk reduction: Quantifying long-term effectiveness and life-cycle costs, Ocean & Coastal Management, Volume 171, 1 April 2019, Pages 96-110

Tieleman O.C., Tsouvalas A., Hofland B., Peng Y., Jonkman S.N. (2019) A three dimensional semi-analytical model for the prediction of gate vibrations immersed in fluid. Marine Structures 65 (2019) 134–153;

Oudenbroek K, Naderi N, Bricker JD, Yang Y, van der Veen C, Uijttewaal W, Moriguchi S, Jonkman SN (2018) Hydrodynamic and Debris-Damming Failure of Bridge Decks and Piers in Steady Flow. Geosciences 2018, 8(11), 409; Special issue on River, Urban, and Coastal Flood Risk

Korswagen P.A., Jonkman S.N., Terwel K.C. (2018) Probabilistic assessment of structural damage from coupled multi-hazards. Structural Safety Vol. 76, January 2019, Pages 135-148

Roubos AA., Steenbergen RDJM, Schweckendiek T,  Jonkman SN (2018) Risk-based target reliability indices for quay walls Structural Safety Vol. 75 Nov 2018, pp.89 - 109

Ke Q., Jonkman S.N., van Gelder P.H.A.J.M., Bricker J.D.(2018) Frequency Analysis of Storm-Surge-Induced Flooding for the Huangpu River in Shanghai, China; J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2018, 6(2), 70;

Vuik V., van Vuren S., Borsje B.W., van Wesenbeeck B.K., Jonkman S.N. (2018) Assessing safety of nature-based flood defenses: Dealing with extremes and uncertainties; Coastal Engineering Volume 139, September 2018, Pages 47–64

Paprotny D., Sebastian A., Morales-Nápoles O., Jonkman S.N. (2018) Trends in flood losses in Europe over the past 150 years. Nature Communications Vol.  9, art. Nr. 1985, doi:10.1038/s41467-018-04253-1

Paprotny D, Morales Napoles A, Vousdouskas MI, Jonkman SN, Nikulin G (2018) Accuracy of pan‐European coastal flood mapping. Journal of Flood Risk Management, online version,

Paprotny D., Morales-Nápoles OJonkman SN (2018) HANZE: a pan-European database of exposure to natural hazards and damaging historical floods since 1870 Earth System Science Data;  Vol. 10, Iss. 1, 

 (2018): 565-581.

Jonkman S.N., Voortman H.G, Klerk W.J., van Vuren S. (2018) Developments in the management of flood defences and hydraulic infrastructure in the Netherlands, Structure and Infrastructure Engineering, 14:7, 895-910, DOI: 10.1080/15732479.2018.1441317

Jonkman, S. N., Godfroy, M., Sebastian, A., and Kolen, B. (2018) Brief communication: Loss of life due to Hurricane Harvey, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 1073-1078,, 2018.

Oosterlo P., McCall R.T., Vuik V., Hofland B., van der Meer J.W., Jonkman S.N. (2018) Probabilistic Assessment of Overtopping of Sea Dikes with Foreshores including Infragravity Waves and Morphological Changes: Westkapelle Case Study. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering 6(2), 48;

Bouwer L.M., Jonkman S.N. (2018) Global mortality from storm surges is decreasing, Environmental Research letters, Vol. 13 No. 1

Vuik, V., Suh Heo, H.Y., Zhu, Z., Borsje, B.W., and Jonkman, S.N. (2018). Stem breakage of salt marsh vegetation under wave forcing: a field and model study. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 200, pp 41 - 56

Paprotny D., Morales – Napoles O., Jonkman S.N. (2017) Efficient pan-European river flood hazard modelling through a combination of statistical and physical models. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 1267-1283, 2017;

Chen, X.; Jonkman, S.N.; Pasterkamp, S.; Suzuki, T.; Altomare, C. (2017) Vulnerability of Buildings on Coastal Dikes due to Wave Overtopping. Water 2017, 9, 394.

Okumura N., Jonkman S.N., Esteban M., Hofland B., Shibayama T. (2017) a method for tsunami risk assessment: a case study for Kamakura, Japan. Natural Hazards 88 (3), 1451 – 1472

Mooyaart L.F., Jonkman S.N. (2017) Overview and design considerations of storm surge. ASCE Journal of Waterway, Port, Coastal, and Ocean Engineering Vol. 143 Issue 4

Bischiniotis K., W. Kanning, S.N. Jonkman and M. Kok (2016) cost-optimal design of river dikes using probabilistic methods. Journal of Flood Risk Management, online:

Vuik V., Jonkman S.N., Borsje B.W., Suzuki T. (2016) Nature-based flood protection: The efficiency of vegetated foreshores for reducing wave loads on coastal dikes Coastal Engineering Volume 116, October 2016, Pages 42–56

Roe E., Bea R.G., Jonkman S.N., Faucher de Corn H., Foster H., Radke J., Schulman P., Storesund R. (2016) Risk Assessment and Management (RAM) for Interconnected Critical Infrastructure Systems (ICIS) at the Site and Regional Levels in California’s Sacramento – San Joaquin Delta. Int. Journal of Critical Infrastructures Vol. 12 No. 1/2, pp.143-174

Habets C.J.W., Peters D.J., de Gijt J.G., Metrikine A.V., Jonkman S. N. (2016) Model Solutions for Performance-Based Seismic Analysis of an Anchored Sheet Pile Quay Wall, International Journal of Civil, Environmental, Structural, Construction and Architectural Engineering Vol:10, No:3, 2016

Lendering K.T., Jonkman S.N., van Gelder P.H.A.J.M, Peters D.J. (2015) Risk-based optimization of land reclamation, Reliability Engineering and System safety Volume 144, December 2015, Pages 193–203

Lendering K.T., Jonkman S.N., Kok M. (2015) Effectiveness of emergency measures for flood prevention, Journal of Flood risk Management  DOI: 10.1111/jfr3.12185

Jonkman S.N., Schweckendiek T. (2015) Briefing: lessons learned from failure of flood defences. Forensic Engineering Vol 168 Issue FE2 pp. 85-88.

Miller, A., Jonkman, S. N., and Van Ledden, M.: Risk to life due to flooding in post-Katrina New Orleans, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 59-73, doi:10.5194/nhess-15-59-2015, 2015.

Stijnen J.W., Kanning W., Kok M., Jonkman S.N. (2014) Sustainability of the Dutch polder approach. Journal of Flood Risk Management. Volume 7, Issue 1, pages 3–15, March 2014

Jonkman S.N. (2013) Advanced flood risk analysis required, Nature Climate Change, Vol. 3, Dec. 2013, p. 1004.

Kolen B., Slomp R., Jonkman S.N. (2013) The impacts of Storm Xynthia  Feb. 27-28, 2010 in France: first lessons for flood risk management. Journal of Flood Risk Management, Vol. 6 Issue 3, pp. 261 - 278

Jonkman S.N., Hillen M.M., Nicholls R.J., Kanning, W., van Ledden M. (2012) Costs of adapting coastal defences to sea-level rise – new estimates and their implications. Journal of Coastal Research, 29 (5) 1212-1226

Jonkman S.N., Hiel L.A., Bea R.G., Foster H., Tsioulou A., Arroyo P., Stallard T., Harris L. (2012) Integrated Risk Assessment for the Natomas Basin (CA) Analysis of Loss of Life and Emergency Management for Floods. ASCE Natural Hazards Review, Volume 13, Issue 4 (November 2012), pp. 297 - 309.

Jonkman S.N., Dawson R.J. (2012) Issues and challenges in flood risk management – editorial for the special issue on flood risk management. Water, 4, 785-792;

De Leeuw S., Vis I.F.A., Jonkman S.N. (2012) Exploring logistics aspects of flood emergency measures. Journal of Crisis and Contingency Management 20 (30), 166-179

Jongejan R.B., Jonkman S.N., Vrijling J.K.  (2012) The safety chain: a delusive concept. Safety Science, Vol. 50 Issue 5, pp. 1299-1303.

Jonkman S.N., Jongejan R.B., Maaskant B. (2011) The Use of Individual and Societal Risk Criteria within the Dutch Flood Safety Policy—Nationwide Estimates of Societal Risk and Policy Applications, Risk Analysis, Vol. 31 No. 2, pp. 282-300 download

Jongejan R.B., Jonkman S.N., Aven T., Ale B.J.M. (2011) Propositions for using risk acceptance criteria. Int. J. Business Continuity and Risk Management, Vol. 2, No. 1, 2011, pp. 79-90.

Jonkman S.N., Lentz. A., Vrijling J.K. (2010) A general approach for the estimation of loss of life due to natural and technological disasters. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Vol. 95, pp.1123-1133 download

Jonkman S.N., Maaskant B., Boyd E., Levitan M.L. (2009) Loss of life caused by the flooding of New Orleans after hurricane Katrina: Analysis of the relationship between flood characteristics and mortality. Risk Analysis Vol. 29, No. 5, pp. 676-698; Best paper Award 2009; Risk Analysis - an international journal download

S.N. Jonkman, M. Kok, M. van Ledden, J.K. Vrijling (2009) Risk-based design of flood defence systems: a preliminary analysis of the optimal protection level for the New Orleans metropolitan area. Journal of Flood Risk Management Vol. 2 Issue 3, p.170-181 download

Pistrika A.K., Jonkman S.N. (2009) Damage to residential buildings due to flooding of New Orleans after hurricane Katrina. Natural Hazards. Vol. 54 Issue 2, pp. 413-434 download

Maaskant, B., Jonkman, S.N., & Bouwer, L.M. (2009). Future risk of flooding: an analysis of changes in potential loss of life in South Holland (The Netherlands). Environmental Science and Policy, 12, 157-169 download

Jonkman S.N., Bockarjova M., Kok M., Bernardini P. (2008) Integrated Hydrodynamic and Economic Modelling of Flood Damage in the Netherlands, Ecological Economics 66, pp. 77-90 download

Jonkman S.N., Vrijling J.K., Vrouwenvelder A.C.W.M. (2008) Methods for the estimation of loss of life due to floods: A literature review and a proposal for a new method, Natural Hazards, Vol.46/3, pp. 353-389 download

Jonkman S.N., Vrijling J.K. (2008) Loss of life due to floods, Journal of Flood Risk Management 1, pp. 43-56 download

Jongejan R.B., Vrijling J.K., Stive M.J.F., Jonkman S.N. (2008) A comment on "Changing estuaries, changing views" Hydrobiologia 605, pp. 11-15 (opinion paper)

Jonkman S.N., Penning-Rowsell E. (2008) Human instability in flood flows, Journal of the American Water Resources Association (JAWRA) Vol. 44 No. 4 August 1008, pp. 1-11 download

Jonkman S.N., Vrijling J.K., Kok M. (2008) Flood risk assessment in the Netherlands: A case study for dike ring South Holland, Risk Analysis Vol. 28, No. 5, pp.1357-1373. download

Fundter D.Q.P, Jonkman B., Beerman S., Goemans C.L.P.M., Briggs R., Coumans F., Lahaye J.W., Bierens J. (2008) TAP report: Health Impacts of Large-Scale Floods: Governmental Decision-Making and Resilience of the Citizens. Journal of Prehospital and Disaster Medicine, Vol. 23 Suppl. 2, pp. s70-s73

Van Mierlo, M.C.L.M., Vrouwenvelder A.C.W.M., Calle E.O.F., Vrijling J.K., Jonkman S.N., de Bruijn K.M., Weerts A.H. (2007) Assessment of flood risk accounting for river system behaviour. Int. J. River Basin Management Vol. 5 No. 2 pp. 93-104 download

Jonkman, S.N. (2005) Global perspectives of loss of human life caused by floods, Natural Hazards, Vol. 34 pp. 151-175 download

Jonkman S.N., Kelman I. (2005) An analysis of causes and circumstances of flood disaster deaths, Disasters, Vol. 29 No. 1 pp. 75-97 download

Jonkman S.N., Brinkhuis M., Kok M. (2004) Cost benefit analysis and flood damage mitigation in the Netherlands, Heron Vol. 49 No. 1 pp. 95-111 download

Arends B., Jonkman S.N., Vrijling J.K., van Gelder P.H.A.J.M. (2005) Evaluation of tunnel safety; Towards an economic safety optimum, Reliability Engineering and System Safety 90, pp. 217-228 download

Jonkman S.N., Stive M.J.F., Vrijling J.K. (2005) New Orleans is a lesson to the Dutch, Journal of Coastal research, Vol. 26 No. 6, pp. xi-xii (editorial) download

Jonkman S.N., van Gelder P.H.A.J.M., Vrijling J.K. (2003) An overview of quantitative risk measures for loss of life and economic damage, Journal of Hazardous Materials A99 pp.1-30 download


Jonkman S.N. (2007) Loss of life estimation in flood risk assessment. Theory and applications. Phd thesis Delft University (354 pag.) download


Verdrinken in de Randstad, Delft Integraal 2006 - 4, pp. 26-29 download (published in English as "Living on the edge" download)

Nederlandstalige publicaties / Publications in Dutch

Willems A., Jonkman B., van Ledden M., Mooyaart L., Stoeten K.m van der Toorn A. (2014) Verkennend ontwerp voor stormvloedkering Houston, Texas. Civiele Techniek. Jaargang 68, nr ½, Pp.14-16

Jonkman B. (2013) Veilig leven met water? Water Governance 3/2013 p. 37-39.

Brakenhoff D., Seip H., Jonkman S.N., Driessen T.L.A. (2013) Baan Hollanda Museum beschermd tegen hoogwater. Land + Water nr. 3 – Maart 2013, p.22, 23

Van Ledden M., Jonkman S.N. (2013) Sandy toont kwetsbaarheid noordoostkust VS. Land + Water nr. ½ februari 2013, p.24,25

Jonkman S.N. (2013) Lessen voor Nederland uit buitenlandse overstromingen. Civiele Techniek januari 2013, p. 16 / 17

Jonkman S.N., van der Meer M., Hardeman B. (2012) Waardevolle lessen na overstromingen in Thailand. Land + Water nr. 8, augustus 2012, p. 26,27.

Jonkman S.N., Kanning W., ter Horst W.L.A. (2012) Stand van zaken rond waterveiligheid in Nederland. H2O maart 2012, 8-10

Jonkman B., Rijcken T. Lansen J. (2011) Keteneffecten Japan ook bij overstromingsrampen in Nederland te verwachten. Magazine nationale veiligheid en crisisbeheersing mei/juni 2011, p.12/13

Wilfried ten Brinke en Bas Jonkman (2009) Kustveiligheid en ruimte, pp. 31-47, hoofdstuk 2 in: Marjan Hidding en Maarten van der Vlist (eds.) (2009) Ruimte en water - planningsperspectieven voor de Nederlandse delta. SDU Uitgevers, Den Haag, ISBN 9789012131285. download

Jonkman S.N. (2009) Flood risks and climate change – threats or opportunities for the design of multifunctional flood defences. BOSS magazine 35, pp. 16-21 download

Jonkman B., Jongejan R., Maaskant B., Roos A. (2009) Het risico op slachtoffers bij overstromingen. H2O 9, pp. 26-28 download

Jongejan R.B., Vrijling J.K., Jonkman S.N. (2008) Bestuurders geboeid door veiligheidsketen. Openbaar bestuur Februari 2008, pp. 2,3. download

Jonkman B., Nieuwjaar M. (2008) Flevoland zoekt ruimte met behoud van waterveiligheid. Land + Water, nr. 11, november 2008, pp.26-27

Van Ledden M., Groot Zwaaftink M., de Bruijn K., Jonkman B. (2007) Slim compartimenteren biedt perspectief voor New Orleans, H2O nr. 16 pp. 33-36 download

Evenhuis E., Morselt T., Bernardini P., Jonkman B. (2007) Economische schade na overstromingen wordt onderschat. H2O nr. 4, pp. 4-6 download

De Bruine E., Hesselink A., Jonkman B. (2007) Kansen voor compartimentering in de Randstad. H2O 25 / 26, pp. 51-53 download

Jonkman S.N., Kok M. (2006) Overstroming van Zuid-Holland en mogelijkheden voor rampenbestrijding. Nieuwsbrief Crisisbeheersing jaargang 4, Nr. 12 december 2006, pp. 16,17

Jonkman S.N., Vrijling J.K. (2006) Overstroming Zuid-Holland leidt tot catastrofe. Cobouw Nr. 240, 22 december 2006, p. 5

Vrijling J.K., Jonkman S,N. (2006) Strijd tegen het water nog niet gestreden, Openbaar Bestuur nr. 2, feb. 2006, pp. 7 - 11

W. ter Horst, S.N. Jonkman (2005) Probabilistisch model geeft beeld van falen rivierdijken, Land+ water; vol. 45 (2005), afl. 10, pag. 12-13 (2) download

S.N. Jonkman, J.K. Vrijling, Nederland kan leren van New Orleans, NRC Handelsblad, 1-9-2005, pag. 9 download

Bas Jonkman, Han Vrijling, Marcel Stive (2005) Angst voor het water, terecht of niet?; Alert Nr. 7 / 8, pp. 17-19

Bas Jonkman, Han Vrijling, Marcel Stive (2005) ‘Is de Nederlandse rampenbestrijding voldoende voorbereid op grootschalige overstromingen?’ Nieuwsbrief Crisisbeheersing jaargang 3, nr. 4, pp. 10,11; april 2005

B. Jonkman, N. Asselman, Dijkdoorbraak bij Capelle zou meer dan 70.000 slachtoffers eisen, Land en Water, Nr. 4, Jaargang 44, 2004, pp. 28, 29 (opmerking: de schattingen uit deze studie zijn in latere studies naar beneden bijgesteld op basis van nieuwe inzichten en meer nauwkeurige invoergegevens)

Kothuis, B.L.M. Brand, A.D. Sebastian, A.G. Nillesen, A.L. Jonkman, S.N. (2015) Delft Delta Design: The Houston Galveston Bay Region, Texas, USA. Delft University Publishers ISBN 978-94-6186-490-1