EJ Seminar Archives

This the archive page for our ongoing seminar in expert judgment series.

March

28

[SEJ] Jafar Razaei
14

[SEJ] David Hartley and Katie Thorn

February

28

[SEJ] Gordon Woo: Expert Judgement on Ukraine Conflict Risk
14

[SEJ] Ullrika Sahlin: Semi-formal expert judgements – lessons learnt from food safety

January

31

[SEJ] Xin Ren: Measuring the impacts of Human and Organizational Factors on human errors in the Dutch construction industry using Structured Expert Judgment

May

24

Kevin Wilson: Probability elicitation for a future flooding scenario in the CReDo digital twin
10

Dmytro Perepolkin: Encoding and updating uncertain judgments using hybrid elicitation and quantile-parametrized distributions

April

26

Willy Aspinall: Estimating incredibly small event probabilities with expert judgement, Bayes Nets and Importance Sampling: present-day likelihood of a repeat super-eruption of Aso volcano, Japan.
12

Mark Burgman: A history and diagnosis of attempts to embed SEJ in government

March

29
Webinar

Jim Smith : Reifying Probabilistic Digital Twins for Flooding Risk Assessments using Expert Judgement.
15
Webinar

Oswaldo Morales Napoles : ANDURYL replacing EXCALIBUR
01
Webinar

Roger Cooke:Twin RFF SEJ panels supporting Social Cost of Carbon

February

15

Simon French: Subjective Expert Judgement: A Retrospective over 4 Decades

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