Simon French: Subjective Expert Judgement: A Retrospective over 4 Decades

15 February 2022 14:00 till 15:00 | Add to my calendar

It's been over 40 years since I first began to think about and work on the elicitation and combination of expert judgement in risk and decision analysis.  In the talk and discussion I hope to reflect on several issues that have taken my attention, including

  • dependencies between the experts' and decision makers' judgements
  • the development of the Classical Model
  • the importance of process alongside theoretical models
  • the growth of real applications
  • Bayesian approaches 
  • the need for research to converge modelling and elicitation

Simon French