How to deal with uncertainties in decision-making in times of COVID-19
You can now view the first webinar of our webinar series. In this webinar we addressed several aspects of decision-making under uncertainties and their ethical implications. Professor Pieter van Gelder discussed the statistical models and how calculations-based cost-benefit risk analyses lead to policy decisions. Professor Sabine Roeser discussed the role of ethical concerns that underlie (policy) measures based on risk analysis. While policy decisions often are presumably based on rational decision-making and quantitative methods, emotions concerning risks and risk acceptability should also play an important role, as they can highlight important ethical issues.
Links to relevant interesting articles
The guardian - "How can coronavirus models get it so wrong?"
BBC News - "Coronavirus: Why Dutch lockdown may be a high-risk strategy"
NY times - "A German Exception? Why the Country’s Coronavirus Death Rate Is Low"
Medium.com - "A call to honesty in pandemic modeling"
Financial Times - "Decision-making in the time of a pandemic"
Imperial College London - Covid-19
Science - "Quantifying SARS-CoV-2 transmission suggests epidemic control with digital contact tracing"