Papers by title

To find the desired paper, please use the search field (subject) with a part of the title you are looking for.

Fifteen years of expert judgement at TUDelft
Completion problem with partial correlation vines
Two-stage Bayesian models - application to ZEDB project
A non-parametric two-stage Bayesian model using Dirichlet distribution
Hybrid Method for Quantifying and Analyzing Bayesian Belief Nets
A continuous Bayesian network for earth dams’ risk assessment: an application
A continuous Bayesian network for earth dams’ risk assessment: methodology and quantification
Simulating stable, substable and weakly stable multidimensional distributions
The population version of Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient in the case of ordinal discrete random variables
Probability density decomposition for conditionally dependent random variables modeled by vines
Development of a causal model for air transport safety
Archimedean Copulas
The effect of model uncertainty on maintenance optimization
A route to more tractable expert advice
Elicitation of expert opinions for uncertainty and risks
Self Conditional Probabilities and Probabilistic Interpretations of Belief Functions
Optimal Inspection Decisions for the Block Mats of the Eastern-Scheldt Barrier
Vines and Continuous Non-parametric Bayesian Belief Nets with Emphasis on Model Learning
Conditional Dependence in the Markowitz Model
Conditional and Partial Correlation For Graphical Uncertainty Models
Vines in Overview Invited Paper Third Brazilian conference on statistical Modelling in Insurance and Finance
CARMA: Food Safety and Expert Judgement
EEMCS Final Report for the Causal Modeling for Air Transport Safety (CATS) Project.
Aviation causal model using Bayesian Belief Nets to quantify management influence
Analysis Tools for Competing Risk Failure Data
Processing Expert Judgements in Accident Consequence Modelling
LINEARIZATION OF LOCAL PROBABILISTIC SENSITIVITY VIA SAMPLE RE-WEIGHTING
Causal modeling for integrated safety at airports
Aviation causal model using Bayesian Belief Nets to quantify management influence
A parameterization of positive definite matrices in terms of partial correlation vines
Conceptual Fallacies in Subjective Probability
Continuous/Discrete Non Parametric Bayesian Belief Nets with UNICORN and UNINET
Conundrums with Uncertainty Factors
Sampling algorithms for generating joint uniform distributions using the vine-copula method
Men moet veel meer investeren in een concreter klimaatpanel
Competing risk and the Cox proportional hazard model
COMPETING RISK AND THE COX PROPORTIONAL HAZARD MODEL
Vines in Overview Invited Paper Third Brazilian Conference on Statistical Modelling in Insurance and Finance
THE COX PROPORTIONAL HAZARD MODEL
Counting Vines
Sample{based Estimation of Correlation Ratio with Polynomial Approximation
Design of Experiments ------Morris Method
Development of an individual-based model for polioviruses: implications of the selection of network type and outcome metrics
Expert Judgment in the Uncertainty Analysis of Dike Ring Failure Frequency
Reliability Engineering and System Safety
Discrete Choice with Probabilistic Inversion: Application to energy policy choice and wiring failure
Obtaining distributions from Groups for Decisions under Uncertainty
CONDITIONAL, PARTIAL AND RANK CORRELATION FOR THE ELLIPTICAL COPULA; DEPENDENCE MODELLING IN UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS
Life-Cycle Cost Approach to Bridge Management in the Netherlands
eemcs_kallen_20071204.pdf
Expert judgement and re-elicitation for prion disease risk uncertainties
Eliciting conditional and unconditional rank correlations from conditional probabilities
Elliptical copulae
The Aviation Risk to Groundlings with Spatial Variability
THE ROBUSTNESS OF MAINTENANCE OPTIMIZATION TO MODELLING ASSUMPTIONS
Further development of a Causal model for Air Transport Safety (CATS); building the mathematical heart
Using a Causal model for Air Transport Safety (CATS) for the evaluation of alternatives
Further development of a Causal model for Air Transport Safety (CATS); Building the mathematical heart
Ethics and Choosing Appropriate Means to an End: Problems with Coal Mine and Nuclear Workspace Safety
Nuclear Science and Technology - Procedures guide for structured expert judgement
Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Assessment: Countermeasures Uncertainty Assessment
Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Assessment Using COSYMA: Uncertainty from the Atmospheric
Dispersion and Deposition Module
Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Assessment Using COSYMA Uncertainty from the Early and Late Health Effects Module
Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Assessment Using COSYMA: Uncertainty from the Dose Module
Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Assessment Using COSYMA: Overall Uncertainty Analysis
Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty AssessmentUsing COSYMA: Methodology and Processing Techniques
Expert judgement and re-elicitation for prion disease risk uncertainties
Expert judgment based multi-criteria decision model to address uncertainties in risk assessment of nanotechnology-enabled food products
Explaining the Failure to Insure Catastrophic Risks
Fat-Tailed Distributions: Data, Diagnostics, and Dependence
Further development of a Causal model for Air Transport Safety (CATS); Building the mathematical heart
Reliability Model for Undergrouned Gas Pipelines
Integration of Stochastic Generation in Power Systems
Explaining the Failure to Insure Catastrophic Risks
Graphical models for the evaluation of multisite temperature forecasts: comparison of vines and independence graphs
Generic Graphics for Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis
Dynamic Bayesian Networks as a Possible Alternative to the Ensemble Kalman Filter for Parameter Estimation in Reservoir Engineering
Mixed Non-Parametric Continuous and Discrete Bayesian Belief Nets
Using Dynamic Bayesian Networks to Implement Feedback in a Management Risk Model for the Oil Industry
Mixed Non-Parametric Continuous and Discrete Bayesian Belief Nets
Mining and Visualising Ordinal Data with Non-Parametric Continuous BBNs
Attribution of Foodborne Pathogens Using Structured Expert Elicitation
Uncertainty in Compartmental Models for Hazardous Materials - A Case Study
Data assimilation for tropospheric ozone prediction problems using Kalman filtering
A Practical model of Heineken's bottle filling line with dependent failures
Hybrid Method for Quantifying and Analyzing Bayesian Belief Nets
Hybrid Method for Quantifying and Analyzing Bayesian Belief Nets - Special issue
Hybrid Method for Quantifying and Analyzing Bayesian Belief Nets 2
Reliability Databases Perspective
Optimal Replacement Decisions for Structures under Stochastic Deterioration
Techniques for Generic Probabilistic Inversion
Local Probabilistic Sensitivity Measure
Risk based decision support for new air traffic operations with reduced aircraft separation
Quantification of the non- parametric continuous BBNs with expert judgment
Introducción al modelo clásico de juicio estructurado de expertos: breve recuento del pasado y una aplicación reciente
New Developments in Life-Cycle Cost Analysis of Civil Infrastructure
Coping with uncertainty in sewer system rehabilitation
Probabilistic Inversion of Expert Judgments in the Quantification of Model Uncertainty
Distribution - Free Continuous Bayesian Belief Nets
THE VINE COPULA METHOD FOR REPRESENTING HIGH DIMENSIONAL DEPENDENT DISTRIBUTIONS: APPLICATION TO CONTINUOUS BELIEF NETS
Expert Judgment study for Placement Ladder Bowtie
Least squares type estimation for Cox regression model and specification error
Least squares type estimation for Cox regression model and specification error revised2
The Limits of Securitization
Local Probabilistic Sensitivity Measures for Comparing FORM and Monte Carlo Calculations Illustrated with Dike Ring Reliability Calculations
Markowitz Model, an Optimal Portfolio Selection. AEX Exchange Stock Data Analysis
Markov and Entropy Properties of Tree- and Vine-Dependent Variables
Kalman filtering for nonlineair atmospheric chemistry models: first experiences
STAKEHOLDER PREFERENCE ELICITATION
STAKEHOLDER PREFERENCE ELICITATION RC4Igor
Micro Correlations and Tail Dependence
Statistical inference for Markov deterioration models of bridge conditions in the Netherlands
Distribution - Free Continuous Bayesian Belief Nets
Model Uncertainty in Economic Impacts of Climate Change: Bernoulli Versus Lotka Volterra Dynamics
Vines-a new graphical model for dependent random variables
System Level Risk Analysis of New Merging and Spacing Protocols
METHODS OF TRANSFORMING NON-POSITIVE DEFINITE CORRELATION MATRICES
Bayesian computation of design discharges
Cost-based criteria for obtaining optimal design decisions
Probability of dike failure due to uplifting and piping
The use of Bayes factors for model selection in structural reliability
nValue of information based inspection-strategy of a fault-treef
Uncertainty Analysis for NO x Emissions from Dutch passenger cars in 1998
Non-Parametric Bayesian Belief Nets versus Vines
Sensitivity in Cost Effectiveness Analyses
A Number of things
Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Analysis Vol. 3 Appendices C,D,E,F, and G - Dispersion and Deposition Uncertainty Assessment
Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Analysis Vol. 1 Main Report - Dispersion and Deposition Uncertainty Assessment
Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Analysis Vol. 1 Main Report - Food Chain Uncertainty Assessment
Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Analysis Vol. 2 Appendices - Food Chain Uncertainty Assessment
Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Analysis Vol. 1 Appendices - Uncertainty for Deosited Material and External Doses
Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Analysis Vol. 2 Appendices - Uncertainty for Deosited Material and External Doses
Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Analysis Vol. 1 Main Report - Early Health Effects Uncertainty Assessment
Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Analysis Vol. 2 Appendices - Early Health Effects Uncertainty Assessment
Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Analysis Vol. 1 Main Report - Late Health Effects Uncertainty Assessment
Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Analysis Vol. 1 Main Report - Uncertainty Assessment for Internal Dosimetry
Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Analysis Vol. 2 Appendices - Uncertainty Assessment for Internal Dosimetry
Optimal vaccine stockpile design for an eradicated disease: Application to polio
Ordinal Data Mining for Fine Particles with Non Parametric Continuous Bayesian Belief Nets
EXPERT AGGREGATION WITH DEPENDENCE
RELIABILITY MODEL FOR UNDERGROUND GAS PIPELINES
MAINTENANCE STUDY FOR COMPONENTS UNDER COMPETING RISKS
Selection of Probability Distributions with a Case Study on Extreme Oder River Discharges
Inspection and maintenance decisions based on imperfect inspections
Inspection and maintenance decisions based on imperfect inspections 4p
Parameter estimation in a reservoir engineering application
Local Probabilistic Sensitivity Measure
Non-Parametric Bayesian Networks (NPBN) versus Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) in Reservoir Simulation with non-Gaussian Measurement Noise 
Precursor Analysis for Offshore Oil and Gas Drilling - From Prescriptive to Risk-Informed Regulation
Inspection and maintenance decisions based on imperfect inspections
Prioritizing Emerging Zoonoses in The Netherlands
Probabilistic Inversion in Priority Setting of Emerging Zoonoses
Techniques for Generic Probabilistic Inversion
Probabilistic Inversion for Chicken Processing Lines
Nuclear Science and Technology - Procedures guide for structured expert judgement
EVALUATION OF WEIGHTING SCHEMES FOR EXPERT JUDGMENT STUDIES
Living near an Airport, Risky or just Annoying? 
Updating Parameters of the Chicken Processing Line Model
Probabilistic Inversion in Priority Setting of Emerging Zoonoses
Boekbespreking: Het pseudoniem van God Een wiskundige over geloof, wetenschap en toeval
Regulating under Uncertainty: Newsboy for Exposure Limits
Response to Reviewers
On the Performance of Social Network and Likelihood Based Expert Weighting Schemes
TU Delft Expert Judgment Data Base
Response to discussants
Eliciting Conditional and Unconditional Rank Correlations from Conditional Probabilities
Climate Change and Risk Management
The Unholy Trinity: Fat Tails, Tail Dependence, and Micro-Correlations
Precursor Analysis for Offshore Oil and Gas Drilling - From Prescriptive to Risk-Informed Regulation
Fat - Tailed Distributions: Data, Diagnostics, and Dependence
Risk Management and Model Uncertainty in Climate Change
Uncertainty Analysis Meets Climate Change
Expert judgement for a probabilistic accident consequence uncertainty analysis
Procedures Guide for Structured Expert Judgement in Accident Consequence Modelling
RISK ANALYSIS AND JURISPRUDE NCE; A RECENT EXAMPLE
Stakeholder Preference with Probabilistic Inversion: Application to Competitiveness Indices
Ship-borne Nonindigenous Species Diminish Great Lakes Ecosystem Services
Techniques for Modelling the Life-Cycle Cost of Civil Infrastructures
The Anatomy of the Squizzel The role of operational definitions in representing uncertainty
Modeling Stakeholder Preferences with Probabilistic Inversion: Application to Prioritizing Marine ecosystem Vulnerabilities
Verwirrende Mehrheit; Wenn Gefahr droht, müssen schnelle Entscheidungen her. Doch welcher Experte hat Recht?
The Limits of Securitisation: Micro-correlations, Fat Tails and Tail Dependence
The work of professor Jan van Noortwijk (1961-2008): an overview
Uncertainty analysis comes to integrated assessment models for climate change… and conversely
Uncertainty Analysis Comes to Integrated Assessment Models for Climate Change … and Conversely
Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis
UNINET Help
UNINET Help mini
Uncertainty Analysis with UNICORN
Updating Parameters of the Chicken Processing Line Model
Using expert judgment to estimate marine ecosystem vulnerability in the California Current
Validating Expert Judgment with the Classical Model
Variance vs Entropy Base Sensitivity Indices
Vines and Continuous Non-parametric Bayesian Belief Nets with Emphasis on Model Learning
Vines Arise Handbook
Expert judgement – Calibration and combination
Expert judgement elicitation on probabilistic accident consequence codes
Generating "Dependent" Quasi-Random Numbers
Uncertainty Analysis and Dependence Modelling