Overstromingen en droogtes door klimaatverandering
Steeds vaker horen we in het nieuws dat er ergens op de wereld een grote overstroming is, of juist een erge droogte. Zo werd in Spanje recent een periode met extreme droogte afgewisseld met noodweer dat tot overstromingen leidde. Door het veranderende klimaat op aarde veranderen ook hoe vaak gebieden overstromingen of droogtes ervaren. De impact van klimaatverandering verschilt van regio tot regio en hangt van veel complexe factoren af. Op de TU Delft doen we onderzoek om te begrijpen wat de precieze invloed van klimaatverandering op ons watersysteem is en onderzoeken en bedenken we oplossingen om voorbereid te zijn op toekomstige overstromingen en droogtes.
Meer informatie kunt u vinden op de website of door contact op te nemen met water@tudelft.nl.
Medewerkers die aan overstromingen en droogtes door klimaatverandering werken
Publicaties
In de media
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Extra maatregelen tegen hoogwater: meer zandzakken, gemalen op volle toeren, januari 2024
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Wateroverlast in Noord-Holland: kelders en kades ondergelopen in Hoorn en Volendam, december 2023
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Noodweer teistert Zuid-Europa, 'extremen passen bij klimaatverandering', mei 2023
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Groot internationaal veldonderzoek naar klimaatverandering, juli 2021
Wetenschappelijke publicaties
- Hut, R., Drost, N., van de Giesen, N., van Werkhoven, B., Abdollahi, B., Aerts, J., Albers, T., Alidoost, F., Andela, B., Camphuijsen, J., Dzigan, Y., van Haren, R., Hutton, E., Kalverla, P., van Meersbergen, M., van den Oord, G., Pelupessy, I., Smeets, S., Verhoeven, S., de Vos, M., and Weel, B.: The eWaterCycle platform for open and FAIR hydrological collaboration, Geosci. Model Dev., 15, 5371–5390, doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-5371-2022, 2022.
- Hanus, S., Hrachowitz, M., Zekollari, H., Schoups, G., Vizcaino, M., and Kaitna, R.: Future changes in annual, seasonal and monthly runoff signatures in contrasting Alpine catchments in Austria, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3429–3453, doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-3429-2021, 2021.
- Zimba, H., Coenders-Gerrits, M., Banda, K., Schilperoort, B., van de Giesen, N., Nyambe, I., and Savenije, H. H. G.: Phenophase-based comparison of field observations to satellite-based actual evaporation estimates of a natural woodland: miombo woodland, southern Africa, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 1695–1722, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-1695-2023, 2023.
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- A. Mianabadi, K. Davary, M. Pourreza-Bilondi, A. M. J. Coenders-Gerrits; (2020) Budyko framework; towards non-steady state conditions, Journal of Hydrology. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125089
- Miriam Coenders-Gerrits, Bart Schilperoort, César Jiménez-Rodríguez “Evaporative processes on vegetation: an inside look” (2020). pp 35-48. Book chapter in “Precipitation Partitioning by Vegetation: A Global Synthesis“, editors John T. Van Stan, II; Ethan D. Gutmann; Jan Friesen; Springer.
- Schilperoort, B., Coenders-Gerrits, M., Jiménez Rodríguez, C., van der Tol, C., van de Wiel, B., and Savenije, H.: Decoupling of a Douglas fir canopy: a look into the subcanopy with continuous vertical temperature profiles, Biogeosciences, 17, 6423–6439, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-6423-2020, 2020.
- Stoy, P. C., El-Madany, T. S., Fisher, J. B., Gentine, P., Gerken, T., Good, S. P., Klosterhalfen, A., Liu, S., Miralles, D. G., Perez-Priego, O., Rigden, A. J., Skaggs, T. H., Wohlfahrt, G., Anderson, R. G., Coenders-Gerrits, A. M. J., Jung, M., Maes, W. H., Mammarella, I., Mauder, M., Migliavacca, M., Nelson, J. A., Poyatos, R., Reichstein, M., Scott, R. L., and Wolf, S.: Reviews and syntheses: Turning the challenges of partitioning ecosystem evaporation and transpiration into opportunities, Biogeosciences, 16, 3747–3775, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-16-3747-2019, 2019.
- Mianabadi, A., Shirazi, P., Ghahraman, B., Coenders-Gerrits, A.M.J., Alizadeh, A., Davary, K. (2018): Assessment of short- and long-term memory in trends of major climatic variables over Iran: 1966-2015. Theoretical and Applied Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-018-2410-z
- Schilperoort, B., Coenders-Gerrits, A.M.J., Luxemburg, W.M.J., Jiménez Rodríguez, C.D., Cisneros Vaca, C., and Savenije, H.H.G. (2018): Technical note: using Distributed Temperature Sensing for Bowen ratio evaporation measurements. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22, 819-830
- Bouaziz, L. J., Aalbers, E. E., Weerts, A. H., Hegnauer, M., Buiteveld, H., Lammersen, R., ... & Hrachowitz, M. (2022). Ecosystem adaptation to climate change: the sensitivity of hydrological predictions to time-dynamic model parameters. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 26(5), 1295-1318. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-1295-2022
- Hrachowitz, M., Stockinger, M., Coenders-Gerrits, M., van der Ent, R., Bogena, H., Lücke, A., & Stumpp, C. (2021). Reduction of vegetation-accessible water storage capacity after deforestation affects catchment travel time distributions and increases young water fractions in a headwater catchment. Hydrology and earth system sciences, 25(9), 4887-4915. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-4887-2021
- Bouaziz, L. J., Steele‐Dunne, S. C., Schellekens, J., Weerts, A. H., Stam, J., Sprokkereef, E., ... & Hrachowitz, M. (2020). Improved understanding of the link between catchment‐scale vegetation accessible storage and satellite‐derived Soil Water Index. Water Resources Research, 56(3), e2019WR026365. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019WR026365
- Kirchner, J. W., Berghuijs, W. R., Allen, S. T., Hrachowitz, M., Hut, R., & Rizzo, D. M. (2020). Streamflow response to forest management. Nature, 578(7794), E12-E15. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-1940-6
- Savenije, H. H., & Hrachowitz, M. (2017). HESS Opinions Catchments as meta-organisms–a new blueprint for hydrological modelling. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 21(2), 1107-1116. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-1107-2017
- Nijzink, R., Hutton, C., Pechlivanidis, I., Capell, R., Arheimer, B., Freer, J., ... & Hrachowitz, M. (2016). The evolution of root-zone moisture capacities after deforestation: a step towards hydrological predictions under change?. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 20(12), 4775-4799. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-4775-2016
- Gao, H., Hrachowitz, M., Sriwongsitanon, N., Fenicia, F., Gharari, S., & Savenije, H. H. (2016). Accounting for the influence of vegetation and landscape improves model transferability in a tropical savannah region. Water Resources Research, 52(10), 7999-8022.https://doi.org/10.1002/2016WR019574
- Gao, H., Hrachowitz, M., Schymanski, S. J., Fenicia, F., Sriwongsitanon, N., & Savenije, H. H. G. (2014). Climate controls how ecosystems size the root zone storage capacity at catchment scale. Geophysical Research Letters, 41(22), 7916-7923. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL061668
- Hanus, S., Hrachowitz, M., Zekollari, H., Schoups, G., Vizcaino, M., & Kaitna, R. (2021). Future changes in annual, seasonal and monthly runoff signatures in contrasting Alpine catchments in Austria. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 25(6), 3429-3453. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-3429-2021
- Roodari, A., Hrachowitz, M., Hassanpour, F., & Yaghoobzadeh, M. (2021). Signatures of human intervention–or not? Downstream intensification of hydrological drought along a large Central Asian river: the individual roles of climate variability and land use change. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 25(4), 1943-1967. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-1943-2021
- Hulsman, P., Savenije, H. H., & Hrachowitz, M. (2021). Satellite-based drought analysis in the Zambezi River Basin: Was the 2019 drought the most extreme in several decades as locally perceived?. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 34, 100789.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2021.100789
- Hulsman, P., Savenije, H. H., & Hrachowitz, M. (2021). Learning from satellite observations: increased understanding of catchment processes through stepwise model improvement. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 25(2), 957-982.https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-957-2021
- Hulsman, P., Hrachowitz, M., & Savenije, H. H. (2021). Improving the representation of long‐term storage variations with conceptual hydrological models in data‐scarce regions. Water Resources Research, 57(4), e2020WR028837. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020WR028837
- Bouaziz, L. J., Fenicia, F., Thirel, G., de Boer-Euser, T., Buitink, J., Brauer, C. C., ... & Hrachowitz, M. (2021). Behind the scenes of streamflow model performance. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 25(2), 1069-1095. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-1069-2021
- Bouaziz, L., Weerts, A., Schellekens, J., Sprokkereef, E., Stam, J., Savenije, H., & Hrachowitz, M. (2018). Redressing the balance: quantifying net intercatchment groundwater flows. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22(12), 6415-6434. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-6415-2018
- Gharari, S., Gupta, H. V., Clark, M. P., Hrachowitz, M., Fenicia, F., Matgen, P., & Savenije, H. H. (2021). Understanding the information content in the hierarchy of model development decisions: Learning from data. Water Resources Research, 57(6), e2020WR027948.
- Dembélé, M., Hrachowitz, M., Savenije, H. H., Mariéthoz, G., & Schaefli, B. (2020). Improving the predictive skill of a distributed hydrological model by calibration on spatial patterns with multiple satellite data sets. Water resources research, 56(1), e2019WR026085. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019WR026085
- Hrachowitz, M., Fovet, O., Ruiz, L., Euser, T., Gharari, S., Nijzink, R., ... & Gascuel‐Odoux, C. (2014). Process consistency in models: The importance of system signatures, expert knowledge, and process complexity. Water resources research, 50(9), 7445-7469. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014WR015484
- Lai, E. N., Wang‐Erlandsson, L., Virkki, V., Porkka, M., and van der Ent, R. J.: Root zone soil moisture in over 25% of global land permanently beyond pre-industrial variability as early as 2050, preprint, 2022.
- Gründemann, G. J., van de Giesen, N., Brunner, L., and van der Ent, R.: Rarest rainfall events will see the greatest relative increase in magnitude under future climate change, Communications Earth & Environment, 3, 235, doi.org/10.1038/s43247-022-00558-8, 2022.
- Gründemann, G. J., Zorzetto, E., Beck, H. E., Schleiss, M., van de Giesen, N., Marani, M., and van der Ent, R. J.: Extreme precipitation return levels for multiple durations on a global scale, Journal of Hydrology, 621, 129558, doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129558, 2023.
- Singh, C., van der Ent, R., Wang‐Erlandsson, L., Fetzer, I., Wang-Erlandsson, L., and Fetzer, I.: Hydroclimatic adaptation critical to the resilience of tropical forests, Global Change Biology, 28, 2930–2939, doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16115, 2022.
- Al Hasan, F., Link, A., and van der Ent, R. J.: The Effect of Water Vapor Originating from Land on the 2018 Drought Development in Europe, Water, 13, 2856, doi.org/10.3390/w13202856, 2021.
Onderzoek door studenten
- Vincent Hoogelander (2022, MSc, TU Delft):
“Assessing the impact of climate change on streamflow in catchments across the United States, using an easily reproducible modeling approach” - Yang Zhao (2021, MSc, TU Delft):
“Do multi-year droughts increase floods?“ - Rik Verboeket (2021, MSc, TU Delft):
“Buffering fresh water at the Volkerak-Zoommeer to mitigate drought: Developing a Decision Support System to evaluate the potential of temporarily heightening of the water level“ - Maurice Shorachi (2021, MSc, TU Delft):
“Investigating the influence of drought on Sentinel-1 C-band SAR data over agricultural crops: A study in the Netherlands“ - Stijn van Terwisga (2020, MSc, TU Delft):
“The aftermath of multiyear droughts: A case study in Australia“ - Rutger Weijers (2020, MSc, TU Delft):
” Drought indicators in The Netherlands. A case study to support anticipative drought management“
In ons onderwijs
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Projecten over dit onderwerp
- NWO KIC “Climate-robust production systems and water management” [2022]: WUNDER – Water Use and Drought Ecohydrological Responses of Agricultural and Nature Ecosystems in the Netherlands: Towards Climate-Robust Production Systems and Water Management. I am leading WP1 “Quantification of actual evaporation and drought-effects”